The Two Cities Opened Up And Mixed Each Other: The Index First Suppressed And Then Increased.

In view of the current market environment, the smooth operation of the economy has provided a strong support for the index, but another important driving factor has already changed the liquidity environment, and the tight situation of short-term domestic capital is difficult to alleviate.

Affected by all kinds of news, the Shanghai stock index jumped to a low level last week and once returned to the 30 day moving average, then gradually stabilized and picked up.

This week, the Federal Reserve's December Conference on interest rates is expected to take place, taking into account the prevailing interest rate hikes in the market.

The impact will be relatively limited.

However, because the market does not yet have the inherent power to reverse the reverse and boost the external benefits, it is expected that the market will remain in the trend of shock consolidation this week, and the core shock interval will be between 3240 -3190 points.

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After the opening up and good cash, there has already been a certain profit making intention, and the factors such as financial supervision and regulation, tight liquidity environment and uncertainty in the external market have come to a surprise.

Judging from the performance of the disk, there are two points that deserve our special attention.

First, market style has not changed in collation.

From petroleum, petrochemical, household appliances, retail, to banking and construction, the hot spot is mainly based on the demand for inflation and undervalued blue chip varieties.

The activity of weight blue chips has played a better role in protecting the market and improving the index. However, from the perspective of quantity, it is difficult to meet the needs of continuous upward mobility when the liquidity environment is tight and the scale is limited. This is not conducive to the further development of index rebound.

Another point is the inside.

The game characteristics are obvious.

In addition to the undervalued blue chip in the buoyant market, last week there were also lively themes such as horse racing, equity pfer, new retail sales and high delivery.

However, most of the hot spots can be released with limited quantity and lack of further action.

At the same time, the market value of large and medium sized businesses has also maintained a trend of differentiation.

Especially when the weight blue chips are strong, small and medium sized breeds often respond to weak performance. The existence of capital squeeze effect also reflects the lack of current market increments and only depends on stock turnover.

Although this has guaranteed the hot spot in the field to some extent, it has not lost its hot spots. However, the poor sustainability of the hot spots has also weakened the money making effect of the market and increased the difficulty of capital operation.

The author believes that at present, the A share market is in a complex environment with tight funds, tighter regulation, and the increasing uncertainty in Europe and America. This largely inhibits the willingness of funds to participate in and out of the field.

Combined with technical observation, the Shanghai stock index recovered to the 20 day moving average last week, and the small volume of late trading showed that the short-term index continued to expand.

However, the downward jump gap formed at the beginning of last week has not been effectively compensated. At the same time, the 10 day average line and the previous 3240 points finishing platform have been coincided. The suppression of multiple technical indicators will limit the space of the index rebound, and the market will still have the requirement of further consolidation in the short term.

Investors are advised to remain cautious and participate in the short term trading opportunities of undervalued blue chips at the bottom.

Entering the fourth quarter of the year, the annual reports and hype have entered a period of intense competition. The important branch of the market is quite attractive.

High pfer has always been a hot topic and speculation focus of A shares. Whether in bull market or bear market, high delivery and share pfer will be highly hyped, and there are no doubling stocks in the past year's high delivery and speculation.

At the end of the year to the end of the year, we will go to the top of the market. This is the best opportunity to make money at the end of the year.

On the news side, the Politburo meeting: releasing six signals and showing financial risks in some areas; the SFC: abolish the "error" in the trial of IPO, "Moutai," or "raise the price"; the global express giant tries to solve the problem of "big problems" in China's express delivery of electric tricycles; the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, but the bigger problems are still behind; China is in the north and is opening the new mode of "tourism + Railways"; the big data innovation and development conference will convene, and it will use big data to precisely help the poor; the overseas investment forum will help Shenzhen investors to broaden their international horizons.

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